National polls are tied between the Donald as he is often called and Hilary .
However it's not that bad , Hilary has a huge lead in states that have the most electoral votes. The electoral vote not popular vote decides who is elected .
There is what's called a college of electoral voters who pick the winner based on their states vote. The states with the largest populations have the most electoral votes .So a candidate who gets a majority of votes in the most populated states wins .That is how george bush jr got to be President in 2000 despite losing the national vote.
I remember feeling so optimistic when Obama was elected, I really felt as though the world was going to change for the better, but not sure that has happened.
Wonder whether there will be bad feeling in the US when the election is over - there was a real division as a result of the Brexit vote over here, can't help but think that with such a vitriolic campaign, not everyone will just sit back and accept a win by the candidate they opposed.
There is now a strong possibility that the FBI will ask for Hilary to be prosecuted for the email contraventions of the law. Trump may be prosecuted for tax fraud. Interesting if both could be asked to be removed as unfit for office.
The historian Simon Schama told a friend of mine yesterday that his son is in the inner circle of Hilary's campaign workers and they think she will lose. Obaham is trying to raise the black vote. She is desperately trying to win those states which have the largest no of votes but she thinks she is not gaining enough votes there.
I read the views of nine women who were considering voting for Trump. Most were religious. One thought Americans should isolate themselves and not intervene in countries like Aghanistan.
The rest were predominantly stating they could not tolerate Clinton's stance on abortion. One said she did not respect women if she did not respect herself and tolerated her Husbands adultery. They all seemed to think Trump was just like other men and sexual harassment was to be ignored instead of stamped out.
I also think in England there was an anti-establishment vote by blue collar workers voting on Referendum day. Trump is like Farage, playing the same game, trying to persuade workers that reducing immigration will raise wages and reduce unemployment. He also is playing on the fears about ISIS by blaming Muslims for terrorism.